September 30, 2025

The agro-export boom accelerates logistics: opportunities and risks in the value chain

Record harvests, tax changes, and increased transport demand are challenging agro-export logistics and risk management in Latin America.

Record production: the tailwind that could overwhelm logistics

The 2025-2026 agricultural campaign marks a milestone with record harvests in 2025: global cereal production is projected to reach 2.93 billion tons, an annual growth of 2.7% (according to the latest report from the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA)). Specifically, wheat production rises to 816 million tons (+1.9%), and corn remains at high levels. 

The abundance of grain exports is already impacting prices: wheat prices fell by 12.5% year-on-year, corn by 5.4%, and barley by over 13%. Exporters face the challenge of rapidly mobilizing their production before price declines erode margins, further straining the agro-export supply chain. 

Domestic transport at its limit: +6% in agro-industrial cargo

The impact of the boom is already evident in Argentina's logistics infrastructure. The transport of agro-industrial cargo in Argentina grew by 6% year-on-year, with 94.6 million tons mobilized, the third-largest logistics volume in history, according to a report from the Rosario Board of Trade. 

Trucking accounts for approximately 80% of grain transport, while rail and waterway capacities remain limited. This imbalance leads to bottlenecks, cost overruns, and increased exposure to risks in grain transport, ranging from delays to quality degradation in storage. 

The Catalyst: Elimination of Export Duties and Export Urgency

The temporary elimination of export duties on grain exports in Argentina, established by Decree 682/2025, prompted immediate shipments. This development triggered an immediate market reaction: within just two days, 2.4 million tons were traded, with 1.7 million concentrated in a single day, setting a historical record for transactions. The measure benefited the sector but also intensified pressure on agro-export logistics and exposed a lack of resilience in critical links of the agro-export supply chain. 

Emerging Risks: Beyond Abundance

The new agro-export boom scenario is not without its threats: 

  • Port congestion in strategic hubs such as Greater Rosario. 
  • Truck shortages and rising grain transport rates. 
  • Insufficient rail capacity, hindering relief for saturated routes. 
  • Strained storage and warehousing, with risk of deterioration. 
  • Contractual delays that may result in penalties. 
  • Exposure to external factors such as climatic or geopolitical risks affecting international routes. 

Hanseatica's Role: Securing Agro-Export Logistics in Times of Abundance

In this scenario, Hanseatica positions itself as a strategic partner for exporters and agro-export logistics operators. Our extensive experience in International Cargo Insurance, Container Insurance and Liability for Logistics Operators enables us to support clients with high-impact solutions. 

Specifically, we offer: 

  • Tailored coverage, designed to adapt to the inherent risks of agriculture and the volatility of international markets. 
  • Regional logistics risk consulting, enabling the anticipation of contingencies and optimization of efficiency throughout the agro-export supply chain. 
  • Proven financial strength, ensuring genuine support for every incident. 
  • Global network of specialized adjusters, ensuring rapid and effective responses wherever the event occurs. 

Thus, Hanseatica not only insures the cargo: it secures the very flow of agro-export logistics, transforming abundance into a managed opportunity, not an uncontrollable risk. 

Conclusion

The surge in record harvests for 2025, increased domestic transport, and the temporary elimination of export duties have created a historic opportunity for the region. However, this opportunity also strains the agro-export supply chain and elevates operational risks. 

Success will not lie in producing more, but in moving better. This is where insurers like Hanseatica are essential: by securing agro-export logistics, managing risks, and offering comprehensive solutions to prevent abundance from becoming a bottleneck.

Schedule a meeting with our specialists and discover how Hanseatica can strengthen your agro-export logistics with tailored solutions. Contact us! 

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